Survey Says: Evangelical Democrats!

Published on February 13, 2008

Smart religion writers have been complaining for awhile that exit polls don't ask Democratic voters about their religious affiliations. Now "Faith in Public Life," a center-left outfit, has done something about it. Robert P. Jones reports at Religion Dispatches. The implications are huge: In Missouri and Tennessee, one-third of white evangelical voters voted in Democratic primaries. And, more surprising, in both states they favored Hillary over Obama by overwhelming margins: MO: 54% to 37%; TN: 78% to 12%. That blows a hole in the conventional wisdom that Obama represents a "third way" a lot of white evangelicals will follow, but it may confirm an argument about Hillary's long, slow outreach to Christian conservatives that Kathryn Joyce and I made in Mother Jones last fall. The survey also finds that a majority of evangelicals want an agenda that goes beyond abortion and homosexuality. Faith in Public Life, and partners like center-leftist Jim Wallis and center-rightist Randy Brinson, announce that finding like it's news. Not to anyone who's spent time with ordinary evangelicals and knows that they care as much about poverty and suffering as anyone. The difference was never a matter of what people cared about; it's an issue of how you want to respond, and on that score, these new numbers may reveal a growing evangelical comfort with big government. Or maybe not -- as intriguing as this survey is, it's just a beginning to the project of understanding the relationship between evangelicals and the contemporary Democratic Party. Progressive optimists see this growing relationship as the great liberalization of evangelicalism. Progressive cynics see it as the conservative conversion of the Democratic Party. Mainstream media favors the former interpretation, but only because mainstream media still views evangelicals as "out there"; it doesn't occur to them that the establishment could gravitate around religion, rather than the other way around. --Jeff Sharlet

Smart religion writers have been complaining for awhile that exit polls don’t ask Democratic voters about their religious affiliations. Now “Faith in Public Life,” a center-left outfit, has done something about it. Robert P. Jones reports at Religion Dispatches. The implications are huge: In Missouri and Tennessee, one-third of white evangelical voters voted in Democratic primaries. And, more surprising, in both states they favored Hillary over Obama by overwhelming margins: MO: 54% to 37%; TN: 78% to 12%. That blows a hole in the conventional wisdom that Obama represents a “third way” a lot of white evangelicals will follow, but it may confirm an argument about Hillary’s long, slow outreach to Christian conservatives that Kathryn Joyce and I made in Mother Jones last fall.

The survey also finds that a majority of evangelicals want an agenda that goes beyond abortion and homosexuality. Faith in Public Life, and partners like center-leftist Jim Wallis and center-rightist Randy Brinson, announce that finding like it’s news. Not to anyone who’s spent time with ordinary evangelicals and knows that they care as much about poverty and suffering as anyone. The difference was never a matter of what people cared about; it’s an issue of how you want to respond, and on that score, these new numbers may reveal a growing evangelical comfort with big government.

Or maybe not — as intriguing as this survey is, it’s just a beginning to the project of understanding the relationship between evangelicals and the contemporary Democratic Party. Progressive optimists see this growing relationship as the great liberalization of evangelicalism. Progressive cynics see it as the conservative conversion of the Democratic Party. Mainstream media favors the former interpretation, but only because mainstream media still views evangelicals as “out there”; it doesn’t occur to them that the establishment could gravitate around religion, rather than the other way around.

–Jeff Sharlet

Category: Feature

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